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VCT Champions Playoffs: Vitality vs. Nongshim RedForce Upper Bracket Quarterfinal Live Today

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

Yes — implied
56%
1 hour+6 pts
What changed

Over the past hour, the market-implied probability for Team Vitality moved 6 points higher. No meaningful directional movement was recorded over the prior 24-hour window.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be the official match start and early map results. Map picks and bans, agent selections, and first-map momentum could all shift market-implied probabilities as the series unfolds.

Volume
$739K
Closes in
3h 21m
View market on Polymarket

Sports

5 markets
sportsKalshi

Team Vitality wins

80%
+12 pts
Market action

Repriced 12 points higher in the last hour on $500K traded.

1d 21h$500KView on Kalshi

Economy

5 markets
economyKalshi

Bitcoin price on Oct 8, 2026?

Live on PNN 9:10AM ET
23%
−12 pts
Market action

Repriced 12 points lower in the last hour on $123K traded.

6h 51m$123KView on Kalshi
economyKalshi

Bitcoin price on Oct 9, 2026?

21%
−8 pts
Market action

Repriced 8 points lower in the last hour on $53K traded.

1d 06h$53KView on Kalshi
economyKalshi

Bitcoin at $100K by New Year's? Market Says 32% Chance

Will Bitcoin be above $100000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?

Live on PNN 10:04AM ET
30%
−3 pts
What changed

Probability has slipped 5 points over the past 24 hours and 1 additional point in the last hour. Bitcoin is currently trading near $79,041, sitting roughly 37% below its all-time high.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be U.S. CPI data, Fed communications, Bitcoin ETF flow reports, and on-chain activity metrics as the Q4 window narrows toward the January 1 resolution.

84d 14h$1.2MView on Kalshi
28%Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?−140%Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in September 2026?+4

Weather

5 markets
weatherKalshi

NYC High Temp: Will It Hit 72–73°F Today?

Will the high temperature in New York City be 72-73° on Oct 8, 2026?

Live on PNN 10:00AM ET
36%
+12 pts
What changed

The market has moved 12 points higher over the past hour, reflecting what appears to be updated confidence as the day's temperature picture becomes clearer.

What to watch

The next catalyst is the official peak temperature reading for Central Park or the designated NYC reporting station as the afternoon high becomes observable in real time.

14h 51m$7KView on Kalshi
weatherKalshi

Philadelphia High Temp: Will It Hit 79–80°F Today?

Will the high temperature in Philadelphia be 79-80° on Oct 8, 2026?

52%
−9 pts
What changed

The market has moved 7 points lower over the past hour, while the 24-hour change shows no net movement. The recent dip reflects modest but notable short-term repositioning.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be the afternoon high reading from official Philadelphia observation stations, along with any updated NWS short-term forecast issued before market close at midnight tonight.

14h 51m$5KView on Kalshi
65%Will the high temperature in Denver be 83-84° on Oct 8, 2026?+8

Politics

5 markets
politicsKalshi

Vance 2028 GOP Nomination Market Sits at 44%

Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Live on PNN 9:44AM ET
44%
+1 pts
What changed

The market has edged one point higher over both the past hour and past 24 hours — a modest, steady drift rather than a sharp move. High volume above $4.6 million signals sustained participant interest.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be: any formal campaign announcements by Vance or rival Republicans, shifts in Republican primary polling, and major political events that elevate or diminish his national profile.

761d 00h$4.6MView on Kalshi
politicsKalshi

Iowa Senate 2027: Hinson Market Holds Above 50%

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?

Live on PNN 9:28AM ET
56%
flat
What changed

The market has moved 3 points higher over the past 24 hours, reflecting a modest upward shift in perceived Republican odds. No sharp movement is indicated in recent short-term data.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be Iowa-specific polling, Hinson's formal campaign announcements, or further national news that shifts the political environment in the Upper Midwest heading into 2027.

391d 00h$2.1MView on Kalshi
politicsKalshi

Democrats at 63% to Retake the U.S. Senate in 2026

Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Live on PNN 9:20AM ET
62%
flat
What changed

Over the past hour, the market moved 2 points higher. Over the past 24 hours, it sits 1 point lower. Movement has been relatively contained, suggesting no dramatic shift in near-term sentiment.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be October polling averages in key battleground states, candidate debate performances, and any major national news events that could shift the generic congressional ballot before Election Day in November 2026.

116d 00h$6.0MView on Kalshi
57%Will Democratics win the Senate race in Maine?−142%Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?−1

World

3 markets
worldKalshi

Will Gemini Be the Best AI by Year's End?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

41%
+1 pts
What changed

The market has moved 1 point higher over the past hour and 2 points higher over the past 24 hours — a modest, gradual upward drift rather than a dramatic move.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be a major model release or independent benchmark update from any leading AI developer. Evaluation methodology announcements or third-party leaderboard changes could also shift market sentiment.

84d 00h$2.5MView on Kalshi
worldKalshi

Interstellar Visitor Confirmation: Market Sits at 19%

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?

19%
−5 pts
What changed

The market has drifted modestly lower over the past day, with a more notable move in the last hour. Traders appear to be reassessing near-term confirmation timelines as the year's final quarter begins.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be updated orbital data releases, announcements from the IAU or MPC, or new observational reports from major survey telescopes before year-end.

83d 14h$317KView on Kalshi
19%Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?−6

Culture

2 markets
cultureKalshi

The Odyssey at Nearly Even Odds for Best Picture

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars?

Live on PNN 9:22AM ET
50%
+1 pts
What changed

The market has edged 2 points lower over the past 24 hours and is flat over the last hour, suggesting a modest cooling of enthusiasm without any sharp directional move.

What to watch

The next catalysts may be major film festival screenings, early critic awards, guild nominations, and the eventual Oscar nomination announcement, all of which could shift the market meaningfully.

449d 00h$1.9MView on Kalshi
cultureKalshi

2026 Game of the Year?

2026 Game of the Year?

69%
−2 pts
What changed

The market repriced in earlier trading — roughly 2 points lower at the time of this read.

What to watch

The next catalyst may be how sentiment settles as the market closes in about 449 days.

449d 00h$459KView on Kalshi
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Lead market · 56% yesValorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsView on Polymarket